Cyclone Tauktae Path Map

Cyclones Tauktae from the Indian Ocean are more likely to occur in the Bay of Bengal, especially in April or late April 2021. It mainly affects the coastal areas of Myanmar, Bangladesh and India

Current Position of Cyclone Tauktae

Quick Update on Cyclone Tauktae

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 6.6N 92.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 93.5E, APPROXIMATELY 292 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PHUKET, THAILAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED DISTURBANCE WITH WEAK
FLARING CONVECTION THAT IS OFFSET TO THE WEST OF AN AREA OF BROAD,
ELONGATED, AND ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 301431Z AMSU-B
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A LACK OF CONSOLIDATION AND FORMATIVE
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. HOWEVER, INVEST 90B IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, ABUNDANT WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND MODERATE (10-20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE SPLIT IN AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 90B WILL MARGINALLY CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY WITHOUT
REACHING TC STRENGTH WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS TRACKING THE VORTEX
GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD YANGON, MYANMAR. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

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